Heisman Guessing

This evening, the 2011 Heisman Trophy winner will be announced. The five finalists are: Montee Ball (RB, Wisconsin); Robert Griffin III (QB, Baylor); Andrew Luck (QB, Stanford); Tyrann Mathieu (DB, LSU); and Trent Richardson (RB, Alabama).

My son, Parker, and I have written up our thoughts on the finalists and our voting projections:

Parker:
Ball: He's scored a ton of touchdowns.
Griffin: I haven't seen him alot.
Luck: He's a good thrower.
Mathieu: He won't finish first.
Richardson: Might be on the same page as Ball.

Me:
Ball: I admit I was surprised to hear he was a finalist; hadn't heard much about him until late in the season. Amazing touchdown total. Back-to-back close losses to Michigan State and Ohio State ruined the Badgers championship hopes and hurt Ball's Heisman campaign.
Griffin: Electrifying to watch. Like a smaller, quicker Cam Newton. Baylor still lost 3 games.
Luck: Could suffer from the Peyton Manning syndrome- people may be sick of hearing about him. Take him away from Stanford and that team is probably quite average.
Mathieu: Defensive back. Returner. Sophomore. One-game suspension. Not going to happen.
Richardson: Best offensive player on a great team. Recent Heisman by Mark Ingram, another Bama back (though totally unrelated) could work against him with voters. Team couldn't beat LSU at home.

Parker's Picks (how he thinks voting should go):
1. Ball
2. Richardson
3. Luck
4. Griffin
5. Mathieu

My picks (how I think voting will go):
1. Griffin
2. Luck
3. Richardson
4. Ball
5. Mathieu